Now that the NFL Draft has come and gone, it is time to turn our attention to NFL preseason odds.
We haven’t even gotten to camp yet, but it is never too early to consider NFL preseason bets. Division winners, conference winners, and even preseason odds to win the Super Bowl.
In this preview, we will take a look at NFL preseason Super Bowl odds, conference championship odds, and division odds.
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Taking a look at preseason NFL odds, the focus shifts to the Super Bowl. For preseason Super Bowl in odds 2023, the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers were favorites to win the big game at +600.
That didn’t come true for either, with the Kansas City Chiefs making their way to the mountain top one again.
Making NFL preseason bets takes a lot of patience, foresight, and expert help to pull off. Let’s take a deeper look at NFL preseason odds to see who the favorites are to win not only the Super Bowl, but the conferences and divisions as well.
NFL preseason Super Bowl odds feature a few a few familiar names. Some of the names on this list were at the top of the list in 2023 and are back again in 2024. This is based on performance in 2023, roster moves so far, and projected records for next season.
NFL preseason odds have four definitive favorites: the Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Buffalo Bills. Let’s take a quick look at each before we get into a more thorough breakdown of each division.
When picking preseason Super Bowl favorites, why not go with the defending champions? The Chiefs won the Super Bowl last year, the second in the Patrick Mahomes era. Given his status as the best quarterback in the league, the question is just how many they will win before he is done.
The Chiefs come in at +600 currently and will likely hover around that range until the season starts. Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and one of the best offensive lines are still around. It is just a matter of retooling and adding to an already great roster.
The Super Bowl runners-up. The Eagles steamrolled their way through the competition en route to the Super Bowl, creating a new balance of power in the NFC. The core is back with Jalen Hurts signing a new extension and all the key pieces returning.
At +700, the Eagles are the prohibitive favorite in the NFC. They also added arguably the best player in the NFL Draft in Jalen Carter, a potential franchise defensive player if he can stay on the field. The Eagles will be right back in the mix to return to the Super Bowl.
Last year’s favorites, the season did not end as well as Buffalo faithful would have hoped. It may be a blessing in disguise that they dropped in the NFL preseason odds (+900), taking a little of the pressure off to make it back to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1993.
The Bills were thoroughly handled at home in the playoffs by the Cincinnati Bengals, but the offseason has been promising. Offensive line help and additional weapons have been brought in to help quarterback Josh Allen, helping them to have some of the best preseason NFL Super Bowl odds.
There are more than a few who feel as though the 49ers were a quarterback away from making the Super Bowl. By the end of the NFC Championship Game against the Eagles, they were down to Brock Purdy who couldn’t actually throw.
Second in the NFC at +900, the 49ers have arguably the most talented roster in the NFL.. If they can find consistency at the quarterback position, they could displace the Eagles as the favorites in the NFC before long.
After a Super Bowl appearance two years ago, the Bengals took the Chiefs to the limit in the AFC Championship Game last year. At +1025, the Bengals face a tough slate but have proven themselves to be the real deal.
Joe Burrow has shown to be a big-game quarterback, besting Mahomes in the regular season and Allen in the playoffs. With one of the best receiving groups in the NFL and a solid defense, the Bengals should be in the mix once again.
Before teams can worry about getting to the Super Bowl, they have to get through the rest of the competition in their own conferences. The AFC, in particular, is stacked with potential Super Bowl contenders, making the trek even more arduous.
In the NFC, the conference feels top-heavy. There are a few sleeper picks to be had (more on that below) but the conference as a whole doesn’t feel as treacherous for the contenders.
When looking at preseason odds for the NFC, the top of the list looks pretty similar. The Eagles are once again the favorites to win the NFC, coming in at +250 according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The 49ers are right there as well, coming in at +425.
The Dallas Cowboys continue to be loved by the public and sportsbooks, sitting at +600. But things start to look unfamiliar after that. The Lions are fourth at +1000 with the Seahawks (+1100) and Saints (+1300) being next up.
The Detroit Lions could be the real dark horse, a talented team that looks ready to take the next step.
There are some unfamiliar faces at the bottom. The Cardinals (+10000) are undergoing major changes, as are the Buccaneers (+4500), and Rams (+4500). The Giants (+2500) could be the most valuable sleeper pick in the NFC.
The competition is absolutely stacked in the AFC. The Chiefs remain the favorites to clear the field (+330) and go back to the Super Bowl. The Bills (+500) and Bengals (+550) are the next up and will likely be in contention deep into the playoffs.
When you get past the top three, things get really competitive. The Jets (+1100) have added Aaron Rodgers and people have them going to the Super Bowl. The Ravens (+1100) brought back Lamar Jackson while also giving him a few new weapons at receiver. And the Dolphins (+1100) added to their defense while bringing back one of the most explosive offenses in the game.
Even when you get into the third tier, there are potential winners to be had. The Jaguars (+1200) are a team on the upswing. The Chargers (+1300) have all the talent but need to put it together. And the Browns (+2200) have a talented roster but need Deshaun Watson to return to form. It is tough sledding in the AFC.
We now get even more granular. It is time to break down each of the divisions and see who stands the best chance to walk away as champion.
Doing so not only becomes important for the playoffs but can help pave an easier path once they arrive.
We will break down each of the eight divisions, covering the odds for each.
Some divisions – the AFC North and East – are tougher than others, leading to tighter odds between the top and bottom teams.
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The NFC North looks a lot different than what we have traditionally known. The Lions (+130) are the decisive favorites for the first time in ages. They are loaded on offense and riding a ton of momentum from the end of the 2022 season, setting high expectations for 2023.
The Minnesota Vikings (+265) are retooling but still have a ton of talent. It would not be shocking in the least to see the Vikings win the division once again, though there is no way they will repeat their record in one-score games from last year.
The Bears (+380), the worst team last year, are no longer the worst in their division. That’s because the Packers (+500) are in full rebuild mode and will be trying to find out what they have with Jordan Love.
The NFC South is arguably the worst division in football, right there with the AFC South. The Saints (+115) are tentative favorites but still don’t really have a quarterback. Their defense is talented, but they have a lot of questions on offense.
The Falcons (+250) could be one of the most fun teams in the league. Adding Bijon Robinson will make the offense more explosive and dangerous.
The Panthers (+380) have their quarterback in Bryce Young and were competitive in 2022 but the talent disparity between them and others is still there.
Lastly, there are the Buccaneers (+700) who are in full rebuild mode after the departure of Tom Brady to retirement.
A year ago, the NFC West looked highly competitive. Now, it looks like a one horse race. The 49ers (-150) are the biggest division favorites in the NFC. They have arguably the best roster in the NFL and just need consistent quarterback play to win a Super Bowl.
Behind them, the Seahawks (+200) are the only competition. They played above water in 2022 and added arguably the best draft haul in the league. The LA Rams (+750) are completely retooling and are looking at another down year. And the Cardinals (+2500) are going to be one of the doormats of the league.
The NFC East is arguably the most stacked in the conference. The Eagles (-120) are definitive favorites to repeat as champions, adding Carter on defense and bringing back the same roster that nearly won a Super Bowl a year ago. Only the Cowboys (+190) are even in their realm, though everyone is waiting for them to actually win something.
The Giants (+800) have a talented roster but there are questions as to whether Daniel Jones can take them to the next level. Finally, the Commanders (+1100) need a quarterback, are getting a new owner, and will be looking way past 2023.
On paper, the AFC North could be the toughest division in the league. The Bengals (+140) are the favorites to win the division again this year. The Ravens (+240), bringing back a retooled offense, will give them all that they can handle.
The Browns (+425) have a roster capable of winning the division but need Watson to regain his pre-suspension form. The Steelers (+450) showed last year that you can’t count them out and year 2 from Kenny Pickett could see the offense make a leap forward.
The second-biggest favorites, the Jaguars (-150) have the AFC South to lose. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence took a big step in 2022 and appears ready to join the list of franchise quarterbacks in the NFL. The Jags also have some of the best defensive talent in the league, making them primed for a big run in 2023.
After that, it is a lot of rebuilding. The Titans (+400) have talent but with a young quarterback and holes abound, they may keep the race in the division close for a while before ultimately succumbing. The Colts (+500) are like a poor-man’s version of the Titans, another somewhat competitive team that isn’t in a full rebuild but clearly is not in contention. And then there’s the Texans (+700) who have a new quarterback and franchise defender but more holes than can possibly be filled in one offseason.
Right up there with the North to “most competitive division.” The Bills +115) bring back the same roster but have added weapons, offensive line help, and a healthy Von Miller. The Jets (+280) added Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers, shoring up their most glaring weakness.
The Miami Dolphins (+280) may fly under the radar but have an offense that can compete with anyone and have brought in defensive help. The Patriots (+900) are the only real long-shot as the rebuild continues for Bill Belichick. These teams are going to beat each other up, leaving the door open for the Bengals or Chiefs to take the top seed in the conference.
The Chiefs are the biggest favorites in any of the divisions (-165) and for good reason. They have won the last seven AFC West titles and there is no reason to believe that anything is going to change in 2024, 2025, or beyond.
Past that, the Chargers (+340) are next up. Justin Herbert is as talented as they come but this team just can’t get out of its own way.
The Broncos (+550) brought in Sean Payton to turn things around and if anyone is going to resurrect Russell Wilson, Payton seems like the kind of coach that can do it. And then there are the Raiders (+1100), who need just about everything and are seemingly starting over once again.
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