Every team has high hopes this time of year. Not only for making the playoffs, but potentially making the Super Bowl.
For a team that is familiar with making the Super Bowl, times are unfamiliar for the New England Patriots. What are the Patriots odds of making the playoffs? What about the Patriots odds to win the Super Bowl?
Read on to find out more about the New England Patriots playoff chances. We will break down their odds, the schedule, and everything you could want to know about the upcoming season.
Before long, we will know more about the New England Patriots playoff odds as well as the answer to the question, “what are the chances of the Patriots winning the Super Bowl?”
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Latest New England Patriots playoff chances & odds
Since 2001, the Patriots and the playoffs have been synonymous. Asking what the New England Patriots playoff chances were became the easiest gimme bet there was. Times have changed and the Patriots have missed the playoffs in two of the last three seasons following the Tom Brady and Bill Belichick era of dominance.
Now, the question isn’t what the Patriots odds to win the Super Bowl are, rather what the Patriots odds to make the playoffs are. But let’s take a look at both and get a better idea of what to expect from the upcoming season in New England.
Despite being one of the best sports teams in Massachusetts, the New England Patriots playoff chances stand at roughly 29% (+250).
They are facing one of the toughest divisions in football in the AFC East. With six games this year against the Buffalo Bills, New York Jets, and Miami Dolphins, the Patriots may become the punching bag of the division.
The Patriots chances of making the playoffs depends heavily on the play of quarterback Mac Jones. Jones has been a focal point of the team for the past two years, seemingly on the verge of becoming a superstar before injuries and inconsistent play marred his second season.
The Patriots odds to make the playoffs aren’t great and justifiably so. The Belichick magic is still there in the eyes of some, creating a reasonable possibility that the New England Patriots playoff chances aren’t as far off as the pundits think.
2023 New England Patriots Super Bowl odds
You can’t look at the NFL postseason without considering the Super Bowl. As long as the odds are for the Patriots to make the playoffs, those are something resembling realistic.
The Patriots are longshots in every way imaginable.
Their current price to win the Super Bowl is , according to Caesars sportsbook.
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They are +1000 to win the ultra-competitive AFC East, facing stacked competition throughout the season. They are +4000 to win the AFC outright, getting a 2.4% chance to overcome the odds and represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.
Given the long odds, it seems almost incredible that they were last to the Big Game in 2019, defeating the Los Angeles Rams. This Patriots team looks a lot different other than the presence of Belichick and Super Bowls are no longer expected in New England.
The New England Patriots playoff odds aren’t the steepest around – they are far from being an AFC doormat. But times have changed, and the Patriots faithful are still getting used to the idea of being underdogs in most of their games.
A lot can change over the course of the season. The Rams were just +1000 to reach the Super Bowl last year and wound up as the worst defending champion in history. The Packers (+1200) wound up missing the playoffs for the first time in years and the Eagles (+2200) nearly won it all. So, who knows what the future holds for the Patriots?
Check how to bet on the NFL moneyline here.
2023 New England Patriots schedule
Part of what helps in the odds generation is the schedule. The 2023 NFL schedule released for each of the 32 teams recently and it is now time for the experts and non-experts alike to dissect things to a granular degree.
The Patriots schedule features not only six games with their division rivals, but competition from the NFC East, NFC South, AFC West, AFC South, and AFC North. Take a quick look at the schedule below, starting with a home game against the defending NFC Champions.
Sunday, September 10 | vs. Philadelphia Eagles |
Sunday, September 17 | vs. Miami Dolphins |
Sunday, September 24 | at New York Jets |
Sunday, October 1 | at Dallas Cowboys |
Sunday, October 8 | vs. New Orleans Saints |
Sunday, October 15 | at Las Vegas Raiders |
Sunday, October 22 | vs. Buffalo Bills |
Sunday, October 29 | at Miami Dolphins |
Sunday, November 5 | vs. Washington Commanders |
Sunday, November 12 | vs. Indianapolis Colts |
Bye Week | |
Sunday, November 26 | at New York Giants |
Sunday, December 3 | vs. Los Angeles Chargers |
Thursday, December 7 | at Pittsburgh Steelers |
Monday, December 18 | vs. Kansas City Chiefs |
Sunday, December 24 | at Denver Broncos |
Sunday, December 31 | at Buffalo Bills |
Sunday, January 7 | vs. New York Jets |
Other New England Patriots futures odds
Predicting the future in the NFL is quite difficult. After all, the Buccaneers (+700) were the favorites in the NFC to win the Super Bowl last year and had to limp their way into the playoffs before bowing out meekly. The point is that things can change over the course of the season.
There are a few different futures worth watching. Let’s take a closer look at the New England Patriots wins total, division title odds, and conference title odds. It will give a clearer picture of what Patriots fans may be able to expect this season.
AFC Conference Title odds (+4000)
Before the Patriots can worry about running away with their seventh Lombardi Trophy, they need to make it through a very tough AFC. The conference is stacked with potential Super Bowl candidates, including three in their own division.
Getting through the Bills, Dolphins, Jets, Ravens, Bengals, Chargers, Chiefs, and Jaguars is a tall task for any team. The Patriots may not have the team in place to make a run through that kind of schedule and then to take it further and triumph in the AFC Championship Game.
Their odds to win AFC conference title are priced at .
AFC East division title odds (+1000)
The AFC East is arguably the most stacked division in football. The Bills were favorites to win the Super Bowl last year and are hungry to get over the hump this season. The Jets have retooled a solid roster and great defense by adding weapons at receiver and Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers to the mix.
That’s not even counting the Dolphins, who made the playoffs last year and had one of the most dynamic offenses in the league. The Patriots will have their hands full simply navigating this land mine of a division to make the playoffs and win the division.
Their odds to win AFC East are priced at .
Regular season wins over 7.5 (-120)
As it stands, the playoffs may not be realistic. But what about hitting their current wins projection of 7.5? Looking at the current schedule, hitting that over may be a big question mark that the Patriots faithful cannot yet answer.
On paper, there are maybe three gimme wins: the Colts, Commanders, and Raiders. With six games against their division rivals, as well as home games against he Chargers, Chiefs, and Eagles, the task is going to be a tall one to win more than seven games in 2023.
Their odd for regular season wins is currently at .
New England Patriots players futures odds
With so much uncertainty about the team record, why not take a look at the individual players instead? The Patriots do have a few players of interest like Rhamondre Stevenson, Mac Jones, and a solid defense that was one of the better units in the league.
These futures are some of the taller ones on the year – winning individual awards. There are plenty of other props out there for individual stats so be sure to check those out as well.
NFL MVP – Mac Jones (+6500)
Taken 15th overall in 2021, there are many who feel that Jones is a future franchise QB. He had flashes as a rookie in 2021, throwing for 3,800 yards and 22 touchdowns. He took a big step back last year, dealing with injuries, throwing for under 3,000 yards and just 14 touchdowns.
Jones is going to be a crucial aspect to the Patriots making the playoffs. He will need to make a leap in year 3 and become the force that fans hoped he would be when he was originally selected.
Offensive Player of the Year -Rhamondre Stevenson (+1200)/Mac Jones (+15000)
We know about Jones, who has shown major potential as a franchise quarterback. His 3,800 yards in 2021 illustrate what he could be. But what about Rhamondre Stevenson?
Picked in the fourth round in 2021, Stevenson took a major step forward in 2022 by rushing for 1,040 yards and adding another 421 receiving. Stevenson has the ability to be an elite modern back: great hands, great runner, and the ability to find the end zone (6 touchdowns).
Offensive Rookie of the Year – Kayshon Boutte (+10000)
If Jones is going to make the leap into MVP/Offensive Player of the Year conversations, Boutte is going to be a big reason for it. He has great ability as a vertical threat and shows tremendous big-play ability.
Receiver has been a talking point for years in New England and the LSU product has the talent to make a big impact. He needs to work on not dropping routine balls but could be an explosive asset for Jones in 2023.
Defensive Player of the Year – Matthew Judon (+5000)
Judon has been a beast since arriving in New England. With 12.5 sacks in 2021 and 15.5 sacks in 2022, it seems as though he is just heating up. The four-time Pro Bowler earned votes for Defensive Player of the Year last year and could be in the conversation again.
Defensive Rookie of the Year – Christian Gonzalez (+1000)
Some feel as though the Patriots got a steal with Gonzalez. Many feel that he could be the best corner in the draft, possessing all the natural skills needed to be the next great Patriots corner.

With Belichick in his corner, Gonzalez could be the name mentioned most when we get to the end of the season.
He will be in a scheme that supports his abilities and be put in a position to thrive. With Judon and company pressuring the quarterback, don’t be surprised if Gonzalez picks off more than a few passes.
Comeback Player of the Year – Mac Jones (+3000)
Jones dealt with injury throughout 2022. He dealt with a high ankle sprain that kept pestering him, taking him three games to recover before ultimately returning to the lineup. The good news is that a sprain isn’t going to follow him into this season.
Jones will need to come alive on the field to enter the conversation for this award. Depending on what others do, his injury may also not be serious enough to garner him support.
Coach of the Year – Bill Belichick (+2500)
Given his track record, you can never count out Belichick. With nearly 25 years in New England, the 70-year-old has won 298 games and a whopping six Super Bowls. As long as he is in charge, New England faithful will have hope.
Best sportsbooks to bet on the New England Patriots
However you plan on betting on New England Patriots futures, you have to have the right sportsbook. As you may remember, sports betting is now legal in Massachusetts.
There are three – DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars – that stand a cut above the rest.
DraftKings and FanDuel are very similar in a lot of senses. Both began in the daily fantasy realm and have since become top names in the sportsbook arena.
You can find the best Massachusetts sportsbooks for NFL betting here.

Both have great odds, a huge array of betting options, and some of the best promotions around. There are also a ton of futures bets to choose from, allowing fans to get in on all the best NFL wagers right now.
Caesars has been a well-known name in the sports betting world for years. It is no surprise that they are one of the biggest names in the sportsbook world as well. With a huge offering of NFL futures, there are plenty of chances to win well before the season ever gets started.

New England Patriots odds FAQ
What are the chances of the Patriots winning the Super Bowl?
The Patriots are +7500 to win the Super Bowl. This is a far cry from the Brady years where they were among the favorites to win nearly every year. With a lot of roster turnover and no definitive answer at QB, the Patriots have a lot more to worry about other than their Super Bowl chances.
What are the Patriots’ playoff chances?
As it stands, the Patriots are +250 to make the playoffs according to Caesars Sportsbook. This comes in the face of staring down a stacked division as well as facing teams like the Cowboys, Chargers, Chiefs, and Giants.
Will the Patriots make the playoffs in 2023?
Anything can happen in the NFL but the chances of making the playoffs are not strong. The AFC East is one of the toughest divisions in the NFL and having to face the Bills, Dolphins, and Jets a total of six times will make it even tougher for the Patriots to make the postseason.
How many Super Bowls have the Patriots own?
The Patriots have six Super Bowl championships to their name and another five appearances. They won in 2002, 2004, 2005, 2015, 2017, and 2019, all with Belichick as coach and Brady as their quarterback, creating one of the great dynasties in NFL history.

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